Saturday, November 1, 2014

Guru Notes

Step it up because the big boys are moving in to play this week. That means this week's winners are going to have to give it all you've got. The average score will be closer this week so score every point you can.

Upsets

I said there would be more upsets in the playoffs. Apparently the Bantams didn't get that message. Nevertheless there are more upsets (which means the underdog played a better game than the favorite) to come.

Minor

   Joshua 2 won by 24
   Midlothian 3 won by 2

Major

   Hillsboro won by 6

Don't stop now!

Major Ratings after Round One

1  Burleson 1 84.06
2  Midlothian 1 81.00
3  Kennedale 80.38
4  Alvarado 74.10
5  Cleburne 2 74.06
6  Crowley 71.06
7  Hillsboro 69.83
8  Midlothian 2 68.00
9  Midlothian 3 65.89
10  Joshua 65.28
11  Whitney 61.33
12  Cleburne 1 59.44
13  Burleson 2 56.11

Minor Ratings after Round One

1 Crowley 86.67
2 Hillsboro 80.50
3 Midlothian 4 79.39
4 Midlothian 2 76.20
5 Burleson 1 75.39
6 Kennedale 74.80
7 Alvarado 1 71.80
8 Cleburne 70.15
9 Burleson 2 67.40
10 Midlothian 3 66.35
11 Joshua 1 66.25
12 Whitney 64.85
13 Joshua 3 64.80
14 Joshua 2 60.85
15 Alvarado 2 59.35
16 Midlothian 1 54.45

Bantam Ratings after Round One

1 Hillsboro 83.72
2 Kennedale 79.94
3 Midlothian 3 78.45
4 Crowley 78.06
5 Whitney 78.00
6 Burleson 1 77.65
7 Alvarado 2 71.60
8 Midlothian 2 68.95
9 Cleburne 1 67.50
10 Joshua 62.10
11 Midlothian 1 61.40
12 Cleburne 2 58.90
13 Burleson 2 57.61
14 Alvarado 1 55.83

Thursday, October 30, 2014

Explanation for Change

I decided to rate the teams on wins and losses. The old ratings were based on scoring but a lot of people were a little impatient when a team lost and didn't do as they were expected to even though the old system correctly picked 19 out of 21 games last week. I could show you a couple of games this year that nobody can come up with any method that would explain why they won. There are just days when the good team is down and the lesser team is up and you can't explain the outcome. So I chose this method which should be very accurate even though margins of victory are not included simply because it is not as confusing and doesn't take as long to develop. The problem with the Minor Ratings would have corrected itself in one or two weeks but I decided it's easier to set up a new system than continue to explain why team A was ahead of team B even though the game could have been an upset. So enjoy the new ratings and those who do not like margins of victory because teams might run up the score should be happy even though every game is really 1-0 or 0-1. That's one loss or one win because points don't matter. And, now, the playoffs.

Major Season Final Win-Loss Ratings

1  Burleson 1 84.06
2  Midlothian 1 81.00
3  Kennedale 80.38
4  Cleburne 2 74.06
5  Alvarado 73.61
6  Crowley 70.94
7  Midlothian 3 68.25
8  Midlothian 2 67.88
9  Hillsboro 67.44
10  Joshua 65.94
11  Whitney 61.75
12  Cleburne 1 59.44
13  Burleson 2 56.25

Minor Final Season Win-Loss Ratings

1 Crowley 86.67
2 Hillsboro 80.50
3 Midlothian 4 79.39
4 Burleson 1 75.39
5 Kennedale 74.78
6 Midlothian 2 73.50
7 Alvarado 1 71.56
8 Burleson 2 69.83
9 Cleburne 69.72
10 Joshua 1 66.61
11 Whitney 65.28
12 Joshua 3 65.00
13 Alvarado 2 63.22
14 Midlothian 3 62.78
15 Midlothian 1 58.44
16 Joshua 2 57.33

Bantam Season Final Win-Loss Ratings

1 Hillsboro 83.72
2 Kennedale 79.94
3 Crowley 78.06
4 Whitney 78.00
5 Midlothian 3 78.00
6 Burleson 1 77.50
7 Alvarado 2 71.44
8 Cleburne 1 68.06
9 Midlothian 2 66.83
10 Joshua 64.44
11 Midlothian 1 61.22
12 Cleburne 2 59.33
13 Burleson 2 57.61
14 Alvarado 1 55.83

Sunday, October 26, 2014

Guru Notes

The ratings were 19-2 this week which indicates the teams are lined up pretty well. It's now time for the playoffs where I expect to see lots of upsets because the strength of teams take a back seat to determination. Teams that are playing for the championship cannot lose or they cannot grab that top award. If you do lose, however, you still did great because you were in the playoffs. All the other teams can say they did their best and had a lot of fun and learned a few new things. Most importantly, have fun. That's what it's all about.

Upsets

Congratulations to the two teams that pulled off upsets this week. Especially to the Minor team that knocked off number one.

Bantam

   Whitney

Minor

   Crowley

Major

   ???

Major Ratings - Regular Season Final

1  Midlothian 1 86.00
2  Kennedale 83.00
3  Midlothian 2 83.00
4  Crowley 82.00
5  Cleburne 2 82.00
6  Alvarado 78.00
7  Hillsboro 75.00
8  Burleson 1 73.00
9  Midlothian 3 72.50
10  Burleson 2 64.00
11  Whitney 57.00
12  Joshua 54.00
13  Cleburne 1 53.00

Minor Ratings - Regular Season Final

1 Midlothian 4 93.50
2 Crowley 91.50
3 Hillsboro 88.50
4 Midlothian 2 82.00
5 Kennedale 82.00
6 Burleson 1 79.00
7 Alvarado 1 78.00
8 Burleson 2 66.50
9 Joshua 2 66.00
10 Cleburne 65.50
11 Whitney 65.00
12 Joshua 3 60.00
13 Alvarado 2 59.00
14 Joshua 1 56.50
15 Midlothian 3 52.50
16 Midlothian 1 49.00

Midlothian 4 has played better games the past few weeks. All ratings have glitches and you're looking at one. Don't worry about it. That's what the playoffs are for. The ratings do not determine the playoff schedule so there's no need to get excited. That was the only game I missed so my conjecture is that Crowley stepped their usual play up a bit and pulled off one of those upsets I like. If they keep it up, they should win the championship.

Bantam Ratings - Regular Season Final

1 Hillsboro 87.50
2 Crowley 82.00
3 Burleson 1 78.00
4 Kennedale 78.00
5 Midlothian 3 76.00
6 Whitney 70.00
7 Alvarado 2 68.00
8 Midlothian 2 67.00
9 Joshua 66.00
10 Cleburne 1 61.50
11 Midlothian 1 61.00
12 Cleburne 2 56.00
13 Burleson 2 54.00
14 Alvarado 1 49.50